My wife grew up in Iowa, so we have followed the hoopla around tonight’s Iowa caucus with more than casual interest. As students at Iowa State in Ames in the early 70’s, we actually attended the caucuses in February, 1974 for that presidential election.  I remember the give and take arguments that night.

This year a particular question for my wife has been, “Where are all these evangelicals the media keep talking about?” She grew up along the Mississippi River in eastern Iowa, and never experienced the super-religious culture that increasingly seems to dominate the political conversation in Iowa, at least on the Republican side.

Just today we discovered that eastern Iowa has fewer evangelical Christians than just about anywhere in the country outside the Northeast. So, she wasn’t crazy after all! But this leads to a larger perplexing question. What has happened to evangelicals who seem to swoon over Donald Trump, who is clearly not an evangelical himself nor a model of evangelical values in any way that makes sense to me. What about such basic biblical values as integrity and humility? What about Jesus’ injunction that caring for “the least of these” sick, poor, and hungry is caring for him? What about pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall?” (Proverbs 16:18)

Perhaps a partial answer is the “God gap.” This “God gap” is relatively new, discovered by social scientists such as Robert Putnam of Harvard. “American history teaches us that religion is neither exclusively left nor right, progressive nor conservative.” For example, “Religion was invoked on both sides of the slavery debate in the 19th century, and it was a vital piece of both Prohibition and the progressive movement.”

Currently, say Putnam and others, the issue is not denominational or political affiliation but a measure of “religiosity,” which is composed of the frequency of church attendance, sense of belonging, and depth of belief. The higher the religiosity quotient, the more (apparently) a person votes Republican (with Black Protestants, who often vote Democratic, an important exception).

So, back to Iowa. I’ve read that Trump’s appeal to evangelicals is somehow mixed. Could he, perhaps, be more welcomed by those lower on the religiosity scale—those who are perhaps are less committed to biblical values and more open to be swayed by outsized personality or popular positions? Or has “persona” become so important now that evangelicals are unwilling or unable to make discriminations?

In earlier Iowa caucuses, such figures as Rick Santorum or Mike Huckabee won with big evangelical support because evangelicals clearly recognized them as one of their own. It’s paradoxical that evangelicals would get behind Trump, who is clearly not one of their own.

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